01 February 2023

Manufacturing sector shrinks for sixth consecutive month

01 February 2023

The UK’s manufacturing sector shrunk for the sixth consecutive month in January, although managed to slow its decline from December’s more than two-year low.

An influential survey found that companies were suffering from weak demand, high inflation and shortages of staff and raw materials.

The S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI scored 47 in January, up from 45.3 in December.

UK manufacturers faced a tough operating environment at the start of 2023, leading to reducing intakes of new business, declining production volumes and lower staffing levels

The index score is calculated from a survey which is filled in by companies across the country. If the score is below 50 it is taken to mean that the sector is contracting, and the further below 50 it goes, the worse the contraction is.

“UK manufacturers faced a tough operating environment at the start of 2023, leading to reducing intakes of new business, declining production volumes and lower staffing levels,” Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence said.

“Weak demand at home and overseas, supply chain constraints, strikes and the continuing impact of high inflation all stymied the performance of manufacturers.

“Weak economic growth in the US, Emea (Europe, the Middle East and Africa) and across Asia is also dragging down new export wins, exacerbating the strain already caused by port delays and lingering Brexit complications.”

Concerns around a global and a deeper UK recession were cited and manufacturers reined back on job creation, reduced their staff numbers to protect profit margins or were unable to find the right skills

But he added that the contraction was at least slower than it had been towards the end of last year. This was “a possible sign that we may be past the worst of the downturn in industry,” Mr Dobson said.

Meanwhile, costs were rising slower than they had in December, and delays in supply chains were the shortest for three years.

Dr John Glen, chief economist at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply, said: “Concerns around a global and a deeper UK recession were cited and manufacturers reined back on job creation, reduced their staff numbers to protect profit margins or were unable to find the right skills.

“The good reason came in the form of improved supply lines that had been struggling since the pandemic but also since Brexit.

“January saw the least marked lengthening of supplier lead times since January 2020 which may have impacted optimism amongst the makers rising to April 2022 levels.”

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